Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis

Fluminense Botafogo
79 ELO 82
4.6% Tilt 4.3%
137º General ELO ranking 162º
16º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
50.3%
Fluminense
26.1%
Draw
23.6%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
Fluminense
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.6%
Win probability
Botafogo
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
+10%
-2%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Fluminense
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2018
BOA
Boavista SC
3 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
7%
16%
78%
80 49 31 0
15 Jan. 2018
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 3
Barcelona SC
BSC
52%
25%
24%
80 80 0 0
13 Jan. 2018
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
68%
20%
13%
80 87 7 0
03 Dec. 2017
ATL
Atlético GO
1 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
29%
26%
45%
80 72 8 0
25 Nov. 2017
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 2
Sport Recife
SPO
59%
22%
18%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jan. 2018
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Portuguesa RJ
POR
86%
11%
3%
83 49 34 0
03 Dec. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 2
Cruzeiro
CRZ
42%
26%
32%
83 85 2 0
27 Nov. 2017
PAL
Palmeiras
2 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
65%
21%
14%
83 86 3 0
19 Nov. 2017
SAO
São Paulo
0 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
47%
27%
26%
83 80 3 0
16 Nov. 2017
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 2
Atlético GO
ATL
70%
19%
11%
83 71 12 0