Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
2 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
42%
26%
31%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 0
FFL
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
GRE
2 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
AMF
3 - 0
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
1 - 0
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
SCI
1 - 0
BOT
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 2
AMF
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2011 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
46%
25%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |