FC Flora vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Flora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
4 - 1
TRA
82%
13%
5%
|
78 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
FLO
6 - 1
LEV
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
PAI
0 - 3
FLO
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 4
FLO
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
WEL
0 - 8
FLO
6%
12%
83%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
PAR
2 - 1
RAK
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 4
LEV
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
KAL
0 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
TAM
2 - 0
PAR
65%
19%
16%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 77 | 36 | +2 |