US Fleury-Merogis vs Lyon-Duchère analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
51.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LEN
1 - 1
FLE
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
ARR
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CSM
0 - 3
FLE
22%
27%
51%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
SML
0 - 0
FLE
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FLE
1 - 1
VCH
54%
26%
20%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lyon-Duchère
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
LYO
3 - 0
BEZ
42%
27%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
CON
0 - 0
LYO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 3
LYO
9%
18%
73%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
LYO
1 - 1
PFC
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
SED
2 - 1
LYO
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |