Flavia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
LEM
1 - 1
FLA
54%
26%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
VIS
4 - 3
FLA
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
FLA
1 - 0
CLU
49%
27%
24%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
ARO
2 - 1
FLA
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
FLA
2 - 2
LUG
36%
30%
34%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1981 |
CHO
2 - 1
NOI
60%
23%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1981 |
CHO
1 - 2
BOI
60%
22%
18%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1981 |
MAR
3 - 0
CHO
62%
22%
16%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1980 |
CHO
1 - 1
CAM
47%
28%
24%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
ARE
1 - 0
CHO
62%
23%
15%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |