Flamengo SP vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
2 - 2
FLA
12%
18%
71%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 0
PAU
44%
26%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
COL
0 - 1
FLA
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FLA
2 - 1
MAU
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
MAU
48%
25%
27%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 3
GUA
15%
18%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
GUA
2 - 1
BAR
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
PAU
3 - 0
GUA
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 3
FLA
35%
26%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -2 |