Flamengo vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.6%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 2
FLA
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 3
FLU
47%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 5
FLA
16%
23%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VOL
1 - 0
MAD
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
2 - 1
CAB
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
DUQ
0 - 3
MAD
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
3 - 0
AUD
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
MAD
0 - 4
MAC
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |