Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
79%
15%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
AVA
2 - 1
FLA
17%
25%
58%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
FLA
2 - 2
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SAO
2 - 1
FLA
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
FLA
14%
23%
64%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FLU
0 - 0
COR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 1
FLU
59%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FLU
1 - 0
JEC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLU
39%
27%
35%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FLU
2 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |