Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 5
FLA
16%
23%
60%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FLA
5 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
FRI
0 - 2
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 2
DUQ
81%
15%
5%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLA
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 1
AUD
85%
12%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
11%
21%
69%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 0
RES
82%
14%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 3
FLU
10%
20%
70%
|
83 | 49 | 34 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
BON
87%
11%
2%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |