Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
9%
16%
75%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 2
AME
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
REM
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
FLU
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RES
0 - 2
FLU
14%
23%
64%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOA
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |