Flamengo vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
GRÊ
1 - 2
FLA
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
VIT
63%
22%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 0
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 2
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
FLU
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
3 - 1
CEA
73%
18%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
FLU
18%
25%
57%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2010 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAL
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |