Flamengo vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
IND
2 - 3
FLA
13%
20%
68%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
REM
0 - 1
FLA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 2
AUD
84%
12%
4%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
0 - 2
SJS
86%
11%
4%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 3
FLA
8%
16%
76%
|
78 | 45 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
DUQ
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
RES
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
DUQ
0 - 0
FLU
10%
21%
69%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BAN
2 - 2
DUQ
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
VAS
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |