Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 2
FRA
85%
12%
3%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
FLA
13%
20%
67%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
3 - 3
SAO
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
OLA
0 - 2
FLA
10%
19%
71%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 3
ITA
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 2
BOA
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
BOT
4 - 2
RES
91%
7%
2%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MAC
1 - 3
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
AUD
0 - 4
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |