Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
UCO
2 - 0
FLA
31%
25%
44%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
VAS
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
UCH
66%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
FRI
0 - 3
FLA
6%
16%
78%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 1
AME
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 2
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 3
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
1 - 4
BOT
14%
19%
67%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
VOL
0 - 1
BOT
12%
20%
68%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | +1 |