Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
80%
13%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
REM
0 - 2
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 4
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |