Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 0
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
REM
0 - 2
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
1 - 1
FLU
54%
23%
23%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
70%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 0
RES
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
87%
10%
3%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VAS
0 - 4
BOT
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
BOT
10%
18%
72%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
RES
0 - 4
BOT
11%
18%
71%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
BOT
3 - 2
MAD
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |