Flamengo vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
ATM
6 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2004 |
FLA
1 - 1
SAN
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOT
4 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
SAO
5 - 2
BOT
70%
18%
13%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 1
CRZ
33%
25%
42%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |