Flamengo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
2.7%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 3
FLA
43%
26%
31%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 1
CEA
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 1
RIV
58%
21%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLA
41%
26%
34%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 4
VAS
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
FLU
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
COR
3 - 0
AVA
67%
22%
11%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
CHA
32%
29%
39%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AVA
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
AVA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |