Flamengo vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 0
SPO
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
FLA
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 1
CRZ
52%
25%
23%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
ATM
21%
27%
52%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
0 - 1
AVA
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 0
CHA
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 1
SAO
30%
28%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 1
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |