Flamengo PI vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
39.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 0
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 2
FLA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
FLA
0 - 2
POR
28%
31%
41%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
ABC
0 - 0
FLA
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GUA
2 - 0
FLA
82%
13%
5%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
FOR
3 - 2
ABC
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
FLA
1 - 0
FOR
29%
30%
41%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
CEA
1 - 0
FOR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
PPE
3 - 1
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
COR
3 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |