Flambeau de l'Est vs Le Messager Ngozi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Flambeau de l'Est
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DYN
2 - 0
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
KAY
2 - 3
FLA
61%
21%
19%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 4
ANM
25%
26%
49%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RMU
0 - 0
FLA
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
FLA
0 - 2
FLA
33%
27%
40%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Le Messager Ngozi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
NGO
2 - 0
RUK
42%
27%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 1
BUM
43%
27%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
BUJ
0 - 2
NGO
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
DYN
1 - 2
NGO
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NGO
0 - 1
KAY
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |