Gabala FK vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
25
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
TUR
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
24%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKQ
1 - 3
QAR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
FKQ
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SUM
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
24%
29%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
SHA
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SHA
2 - 1
SFK
20%
26%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FCK
3 - 2
SHA
21%
26%
53%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 0
SHA
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |