Gabala FK vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
SEB
2 - 2
FKQ
17%
24%
59%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
2 - 1
SUM
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ZIR
2 - 2
FKQ
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 3
SFK
41%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
GEN
1 - 0
QAR
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ZIR
0 - 1
QAR
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 0
GEN
35%
25%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
SFK
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |