Gabala FK vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
4º
68
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ZIR
2 - 1
FKQ
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 2
SFK
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 3
FKQ
8%
20%
72%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
TUR
0 - 2
FKQ
13%
22%
65%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 0
SUM
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
ZIR
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKN
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKN
5 - 2
FCK
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |