FK Pobeda vs Vardarski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.5%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+143%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
6º
14º
12º
11
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Pobeda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
SAS
4 - 1
POB
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
POB
1 - 0
NOV
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAN
1 - 2
POB
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
BAS
3 - 1
POB
68%
19%
13%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 1
POB
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Vardarski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 3
BAS
19%
24%
57%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
OHR
3 - 0
VAR
80%
13%
8%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
12%
16%
72%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARE
3 - 0
VAR
82%
12%
6%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
MAK
14%
20%
65%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |