Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-2
Partizan Belgrade vs Yeni Malatyaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
4 - 0
MAV
82%
13%
4%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
PAR
3 - 0
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAR
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
INI
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Yeni Malatyaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
OLI
0 - 1
YEN
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
YEN
2 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
YEN
1 - 0
ČEL
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
YEN
1 - 2
BUR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANT
3 - 0
YEN
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |