Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 4-0
Partizan Belgrade vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAR
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
INI
0 - 1
PAR
13%
22%
65%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAK
75%
17%
8%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
PAR
2 - 1
GIR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
OLI
1 - 0
PAR
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
PAR
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
KIL
0 - 2
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
CON
1 - 2
KIL
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
ABE
0 - 0
CON
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CON
1 - 0
CLI
53%
23%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |