Otrant Ulcinj vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
36.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
OUL
0 - 1
BOK
38%
28%
35%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
FKA
2 - 1
OUL
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
OUL
0 - 2
SUT
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
BUD
5 - 1
OUL
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 0
DEC
41%
28%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 1
PET
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
BOK
0 - 2
MOR
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 0
FKA
42%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2025 |
SUT
1 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
MOR
1 - 2
BUD
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |