Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 3
FKN
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 0
AZA
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
FKN
2 - 1
SHA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
FKQ
0 - 2
FKN
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
KHA
0 - 0
FKN
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKQ
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SIM
1 - 1
QAR
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
SSU
1 - 2
QAR
42%
28%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
SAH
0 - 0
QAR
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
QAR
3 - 0
MUG
73%
18%
8%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |