Neftçi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+124%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SIM
0 - 2
FKN
50%
28%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 0
QAR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FKB
2 - 0
FKN
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
FKN
2 - 1
SSU
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
QAR
0 - 1
SHA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FKN
0 - 0
QAR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2009 |
QAR
1 - 0
FKN
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
QAR
2 - 0
MOI
67%
20%
12%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
MUG
0 - 4
QAR
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |