Neftçi vs Gabala FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
50
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SUM
2 - 2
FKN
21%
27%
52%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 3
FKN
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 3
SFK
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
0 - 2
FKN
9%
22%
69%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
0 - 0
TUR
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gabala FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 0
ZIR
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SFK
2 - 1
FKQ
45%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
1 - 1
FCK
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
25%
58%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |