Neftçi vs FC Kapaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
2º
4º
3º
31
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
24%
29%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
FKN
4 - 0
TUR
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
QAR
1 - 1
FKN
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKN
3 - 0
SEB
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
FKQ
0 - 0
FKN
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Kapaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FCK
1 - 1
ZIR
15%
27%
58%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SFK
2 - 0
FCK
76%
17%
8%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SUM
1 - 2
FCK
60%
24%
17%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
FCK
3 - 2
SHA
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FCK
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |