Naftagas vs Tisa Adorjan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
14º
4º
48
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 60 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 57 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KNS
3 - 0
FKN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
1 - 0
BOS
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HAJ
3 - 2
FKN
55%
23%
23%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 1
FKB
52%
20%
28%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
FKR
0 - 0
FKN
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tisa Adorjan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TIA
2 - 3
DIN
53%
21%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BAK
1 - 3
TIA
72%
17%
11%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
1 - 2
JSP
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ONB
4 - 3
TIA
54%
21%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TIA
4 - 2
FKS
49%
21%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |