Naftagas vs Bačka Palanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
54
3º
14º
4º
29
6º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 69 |
1º
|
91.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 60 |
2º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 57 |
3º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
63% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 49 |
5º
|
97% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
72% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
55.5% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
72% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 13.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 86.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
JSP
3 - 1
FKN
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
2 - 0
ONB
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
FKN
32%
22%
46%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FKN
3 - 2
TIA
54%
20%
26%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KNS
3 - 0
FKN
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bačka Palanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAK
0 - 0
DIN
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BAK
0 - 0
FKB
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
JSP
2 - 0
BAK
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BAK
0 - 0
ONB
65%
21%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
2 - 1
BAK
18%
24%
58%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | -1 |