Gruza vs Mačva 1929 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
60.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gruza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
GRU
2 - 4
BUA
16%
21%
63%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAR
3 - 2
GRU
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
GRU
2 - 0
ZEL
30%
23%
47%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +3 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SME
4 - 0
GRU
84%
12%
4%
|
28 | 69 | 41 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
GRU
1 - 2
BRA
76%
14%
10%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mačva 1929
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
2 - 1
JED
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BUA
1 - 0
MAC
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
MAC
4 - 1
SAR
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
ZEL
1 - 1
MAC
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAC
3 - 1
SME
8%
22%
71%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | +2 |