Cherepovets vs Shinnik Yaroslavl II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
2º
4º
2º
19
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
FKC
7%
13%
81%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
1 - 0
FAN
73%
15%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
AGY
0 - 1
FKC
19%
19%
62%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
3 - 1
AGY
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
FKC
5 - 0
FDV
91%
6%
2%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 1
FKK
32%
21%
47%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 0
SHI
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 1
AGY
23%
20%
58%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 3
DIN
23%
21%
56%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FDV
4 - 2
SHI
6%
12%
82%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |