Cherepovets vs Tver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+75%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
12º
14º
13º
26
2º
12º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 66 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 61 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 48 |
4º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 41 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 39 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 36 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 33 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 28 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 27 |
13º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 16 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
7% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherepovets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
KOL
1 - 2
FKC
36%
21%
43%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
FKC
2 - 4
SAT
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
LUK
1 - 1
FKC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
FKC
0 - 2
ZEN
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
FKK
1 - 1
FKC
58%
22%
20%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
TVE
2 - 1
SPA
7%
16%
78%
|
36 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
ZSP
2 - 3
TVE
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
TVE
4 - 0
FYK
51%
22%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
FBK
1 - 0
TVE
65%
21%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
TVE
2 - 1
TOR
30%
24%
46%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |