Arsenal Tivat vs Mornar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
42
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
JED
44%
27%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 1
BUD
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
3 - 1
FKA
8%
13%
79%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 4
MAK
27%
23%
50%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
SUT
25%
28%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
DEC
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 2
BUD
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
IKD
2 - 1
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |