Arsenal Tivat vs Iskra Danilovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
3º
10º
4º
31
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tivat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
FKA
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
FKA
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 0
JEZ
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
JED
0 - 0
FKA
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
PET
0 - 3
FKA
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Iskra Danilovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
0 - 2
SUT
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
FKA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RUD
3 - 1
IKD
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 3
DEC
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 0
IKD
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |