FK Arendal vs Jerv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2023 |
RIL
0 - 8
FKA
6%
12%
82%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
FKA
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FKA
2 - 1
LYN
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
EGE
3 - 3
FKA
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
FKA
11 - 0
VAL
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
JER
2 - 1
HOD
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
MAN
0 - 3
JER
11%
17%
72%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
JER
1 - 1
KRI
20%
24%
56%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
BRY
0 - 0
JER
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
JER
1 - 1
FFK
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |