FK Arendal vs Grorud IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
2º
10º
3º
36
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 33 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
KJE
3 - 1
FKA
36%
25%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
FKA
3 - 0
EGE
41%
23%
37%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 0
ORN
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SKE
5 - 0
FKA
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
8 - 0
VIN
83%
12%
6%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Grorud IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 0
AAL
58%
23%
20%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 0
GRO
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ULL
1 - 0
GRO
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
GRO
0 - 1
ALT
57%
21%
21%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
HON
5 - 2
GRO
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |