Five Islands vs SAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Five Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FIV
0 - 2
ORO
45%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2015 |
FIV
1 - 1
EGF
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FIV
1 - 0
VIR
47%
22%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
FIV
0 - 2
PBU
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
ORO
4 - 2
FIV
52%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
VIR
0 - 1
SAP
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
HOP
2 - 1
SAP
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
1 - 4
HOP
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
3 - 4
OTT
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SAP
3 - 1
FIV
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |