Figueirense vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 0
LIT
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
INT
1 - 0
FFL
13%
19%
68%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
JEC
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
FFL
16%
23%
60%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
4 - 1
BRU
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHA
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 3
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
79 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
7 - 0
TUB
82%
14%
4%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |