Fidene vs Selargius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PRO
3 - 0
FID
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
FID
3 - 2
PAL
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
0 - 2
FID
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FID
1 - 1
MON
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CIT
2 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Selargius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 1
CIT
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ANZ
2 - 5
SEL
23%
24%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SEL
2 - 3
SAL
17%
23%
61%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
SEL
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SEL
1 - 1
POM
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |