FICA vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FICA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 1
FIC
37%
31%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
FIC
2 - 0
VIO
58%
25%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 1
FIC
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FIC
1 - 0
TEM
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 0
FIC
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 0
VIO
54%
28%
19%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
BAL
1 - 0
CAP
42%
32%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 1
CAV
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AIG
1 - 1
CAP
36%
32%
32%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
0 - 0
VIC
45%
30%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |