FICA vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
21.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FICA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FIC
0 - 0
VAL
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FIC
37%
29%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
FIC
3 - 2
VIC
55%
27%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FIC
4 - 1
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 1
BAL
41%
32%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
0 - 0
VIO
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
BAL
3 - 0
AIG
41%
30%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
AIG
2 - 1
FIC
35%
30%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 1
AIG
34%
31%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |