Ferroviária vs Santacruzense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+84%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
FER
0 - 0
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SER
0 - 5
FER
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FER
0 - 4
MON
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
CAT
1 - 0
FER
53%
23%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Santacruzense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
GRÊ
17%
20%
64%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 1
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |