Ferroviária vs Batatais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 3
FER
19%
24%
56%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
COM
1 - 1
FER
25%
25%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FER
1 - 0
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 2
FER
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
FER
5 - 0
IND
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Batatais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 0
BAT
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
3 - 1
MAT
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
BAT
0 - 2
COM
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 0
BAT
53%
26%
22%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
BAT
43%
27%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |