Ferro General Pico vs San Martín Mendoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
3º
7º
4º
6
4º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
12 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 12 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 5 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HHE
0 - 0
FER
54%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 1
SAU
38%
28%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
48%
27%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FER
0 - 0
HHE
35%
28%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Mendoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
HHE
37%
30%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 0
FER
48%
27%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
SMA
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 1
GUT
38%
30%
31%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CSE
3 - 1
SMA
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |