Ferriolense vs Sporting Mahonés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferriolense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
FER
16%
23%
61%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FER
1 - 3
PXD
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 1
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MNU
0 - 1
FER
36%
26%
37%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
ATB
73%
17%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Mahonés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MHN
1 - 0
MNU
48%
26%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
ATB
1 - 0
MHN
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MHN
1 - 1
SLL
36%
27%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PBL
1 - 3
MHN
58%
24%
18%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MHN
2 - 0
CLL
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |